Taverne vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 0
TAV
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
TAV
2 - 3
MEN
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 7
FCA
5%
11%
85%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCW
3 - 1
TAV
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DIE
2 - 0
TAV
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 0
DIE
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 2
LUG
69%
18%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCM
39%
24%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SEU
1 - 0
LUG
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
RAP
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |