Taverne vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCG
2 - 2
TAV
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 3
FCB
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FCT
0 - 2
TAV
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAV
2 - 1
LUG
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
2 - 0
TAV
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAD
4 - 2
DIE
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ESC
2 - 1
BAD
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BAD
3 - 2
FCM
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 2
SEU
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BAD
4 - 0
WIN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |