Taverne vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
TAV
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TAV
2 - 1
LUZ
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 2
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
TAV
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TAV
0 - 1
HOC
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 3
TEA
39%
23%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
46%
21%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 1
ASC
28%
23%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |