Taverne vs Novazzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PER
4 - 4
TAV
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 2
FCS
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
LUZ
0 - 4
TAV
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TAV
1 - 1
ESC
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 0
TAV
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PER
2 - 2
NOV
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAR
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
6 - 1
NOV
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
WIL
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LUZ
2 - 1
NOV
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |