Taverne vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 2
TAV
51%
23%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 0
LUZ
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
HER
4 - 1
TAV
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
0 - 4
SIO
9%
16%
76%
|
25 | 77 | 52 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
TAV
3 - 4
FCS
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
GOL
6 - 4
AAR
26%
24%
51%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AAR
7 - 1
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
AAR
1 - 2
ESC
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 2
AAR
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
AAR
2 - 2
FCM
65%
20%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |