Tauro vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
11º
7º
18
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 31 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 28 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 25 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
12º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
3% | 8.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
15% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tauro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
TAU
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
TAU
34%
30%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 0
COS
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 0
AMA
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
TAU
43%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
COS
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
AMA
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
SMI
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
SMI
41%
30%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 0
AFC
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |