Tauranga vs Auckland United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
8º
7º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TCU
4 - 0
MEL
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
0 - 2
EAS
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
TCU
6 - 0
MUF
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 19 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ABC
0 - 9
TCU
5%
11%
84%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
ECB
3 - 2
TCU
7%
12%
81%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
AUC
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 3
NAP
71%
15%
14%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
AFC
24%
21%
56%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 4
WEL
50%
20%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AUC
3 - 2
AFC
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |