Taubaté vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ECN
0 - 2
TAU
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
4 - 1
ECN
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
TAU
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
2 - 1
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 0
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
VEL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
PEN
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
TAU
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ECN
0 - 1
PEN
38%
24%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
BAT
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |