Taubaté vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 1
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TAU
2 - 2
TUP
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
VOT
0 - 2
TAU
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
AGU
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
TAU
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
VOT
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
AME
3 - 3
NOV
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
JUV
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
NOV
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |