Taubaté vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
TAU
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
77%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
TAU
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
TAU
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
0 - 1
TAB
66%
19%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
JUV
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OSV
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |