Taubaté vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
ECN
43%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 1
TAU
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
TAU
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
77%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |