Taubaté vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 4
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 3
TAU
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 2
BEB
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAT
1 - 0
TAU
47%
23%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FRA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
76%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
1 - 1
FRA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 1
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |