Taubaté vs XV de Novembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 1
TAU
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 0
MAR
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
TAU
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
77%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
TAU
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
1 - 0
MAR
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 3
ECN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ECN
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
2 - 1
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |