Taubaté vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
TAU
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 2
VEL
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 0
TAU
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
24%
26%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 2
TAU
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 2
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
XVD
13%
22%
65%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
COM
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
OES
16%
21%
64%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
4 - 0
COM
73%
17%
9%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |