UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Tatabánya vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tatabánya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
ZEN
2 - 1
TAT
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2000 |
HNK
0 - 0
TAT
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
TAT
3 - 2
HNK
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
TAT
3 - 0
HBT
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
HBT
0 - 4
TAT
47%
24%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2000 |
ZEN
2 - 1
TAT
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2000 |
NKP
1 - 3
ZEN
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
DIN
1 - 2
ZEN
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2000 |
ZEN
3 - 0
NKP
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2000 |
ZEN
5 - 0
FAK
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |