UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 5-4
Tatabánya vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tatabánya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
TAT
1 - 5
MTK
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
ZTE
3 - 2
TAT
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
TAT
2 - 5
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
GYO
3 - 2
TAT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
TAT
1 - 3
FHV
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ARA
2 - 1
SHI
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
SHI
2 - 0
ARA
60%
20%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
BAN
2 - 2
SHI
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2001 |
SHI
3 - 1
KOT
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
LVA
0 - 3
SHI
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |