Europa League 1/32
Global 2-2
Tatabánya vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1981 |
RMA
2 - 3
SPO
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1981 |
LIV
1 - 0
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMA
44%
25%
31%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
RMA
4 - 1
REC
89%
9%
2%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
REC
1 - 1
RMA
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |