Tatabánya vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
16º
16º
13
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
25 | 56 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 56 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 51 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 50 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 40 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 37 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 37 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 34 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 27 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
71.5% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tatabánya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MTK
3 - 0
TAT
87%
9%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TAT
2 - 1
KOM
11%
16%
73%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GYO
2 - 0
TAT
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BEK
1 - 0
TAT
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 0
SZE
32%
25%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 0
VAS
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
BUD
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KAZ
2 - 0
BUD
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 1
SZE
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
BUD
1 - 5
PAK
9%
14%
77%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |