UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Tatabánya vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tatabánya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
TAT
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
TAT
4 - 0
TIT
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
TIT
1 - 1
TAT
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
SHI
1 - 3
TAT
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
UJP
1 - 1
TAT
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
TAT
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ACM
1 - 1
BRE
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
VIC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
PRG
2 - 2
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |