Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-5
Tasmania Berlin vs Utrecht XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
UTR
3 - 2
TAS
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1962 |
EIN
1 - 0
TAS
75%
13%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
KAI
2 - 1
TAS
41%
23%
37%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 1961 |
TAS
4 - 1
ALT
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
TAS
1 - 2
F95
73%
15%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
UTR
3 - 2
TAS
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |