Tasmania Berlin vs Rostocker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
52.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
23
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RSV
0 - 4
TAS
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TAS
2 - 2
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIC
3 - 0
TAS
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TAS
3 - 0
ANK
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 1
TAS
49%
21%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 5
HZE
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 2
RFC
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RFC
2 - 1
NEU
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 8
HEI
3%
8%
89%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SCS
3 - 2
RFC
32%
22%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |