Tasmania Berlin vs Rostocker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
52.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
23
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RSV
0 - 4
TAS
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TAS
2 - 2
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIC
3 - 0
TAS
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TAS
3 - 0
ANK
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 1
TAS
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 5
HZE
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 2
RFC
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RFC
2 - 1
NEU
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 8
HEI
3%
8%
89%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SCS
3 - 2
RFC
32%
22%
47%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |