Tasmania Berlin vs Optik Rathenow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
54.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
17º
12º
34
12º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
TAS
40%
21%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 1
MSV
42%
21%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TUM
3 - 0
TAS
74%
14%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BWB
3 - 1
TAS
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DSC
4 - 3
TAS
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 1
OPT
37%
22%
42%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OPT
1 - 1
TUM
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BWB
2 - 0
OPT
64%
19%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
OPT
2 - 0
DSC
74%
14%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
RSV
4 - 1
OPT
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |