Tasmania Berlin vs MSV Neuruppin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
17º
12º
32
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
TUM
3 - 0
TAS
74%
14%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BWB
3 - 1
TAS
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DSC
4 - 3
TAS
44%
21%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TAS
2 - 1
RSV
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HER
3 - 1
TAS
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Neuruppin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MSV
1 - 1
DSC
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RSV
0 - 2
MSV
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MSV
1 - 3
SCS
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
MSV
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
MSV
3 - 0
FMS
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |