Tasmania Berlin vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
61.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
TAS
0 - 2
KOL
25%
22%
53%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
BYM
2 - 1
TAS
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
TAS
0 - 4
HSV
14%
16%
70%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
BVB
3 - 1
TAS
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1966 |
KOL
1 - 1
TAS
83%
11%
7%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
FCN
2 - 1
EIN
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 1
NEU
77%
14%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
EBT
3 - 0
FCN
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
FCN
0 - 0
EIN
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1966 |
TSA
0 - 1
FCN
25%
23%
52%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |