Tasman United vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WAI
3 - 0
TAS
55%
23%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 0
TAS
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TAS
1 - 2
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 1
TAS
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
WAI
5 - 3
TAS
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
2 - 3
CAN
24%
24%
51%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 5
WAI
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 0
WEL
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 4
TEA
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
WEL
0 - 2
AUC
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |