Tasman United vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TAS
2 - 2
EAS
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
TAS
0 - 0
WAI
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TEA
2 - 1
TAS
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAS
2 - 2
SOU
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
TAS
47%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 2
SOU
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AUC
4 - 0
WEL
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
WEL
0 - 5
WAI
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WEL
2 - 5
TEA
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
HAW
0 - 0
WEL
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |