Tasman United vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
TAS
47%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
HAW
1 - 4
TAS
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TAS
5 - 2
SOU
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TEA
5 - 1
TAS
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TAS
2 - 1
EAS
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 1
EAS
27%
27%
47%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
AUC
24%
27%
50%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TAS
5 - 2
SOU
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
HAW
2 - 1
SOU
82%
13%
6%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
AUC
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |