Tasman United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
TAS
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TAS
3 - 2
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WAI
3 - 0
TAS
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 0
TAS
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TAS
1 - 2
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
4 - 0
WAI
43%
24%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
2 - 2
HAW
74%
15%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 2
HAW
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
HAW
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HAW
2 - 2
CAN
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |