Tasman United vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
HAW
2 - 2
TAS
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TAS
1 - 2
SOU
53%
23%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
WEL
1 - 1
TAS
39%
24%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TAS
3 - 1
WAI
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TAS
2 - 2
TEA
19%
23%
59%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
WAI
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TEA
3 - 1
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
HAW
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 2
EAS
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |