Tasman United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
EAS
3 - 0
TAS
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TAS
5 - 2
HAW
39%
26%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TAS
1 - 4
TEA
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 4
TAS
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TAS
4 - 4
HAW
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 3
AUC
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
TEA
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 1
AUC
21%
26%
54%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 2
AUC
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 2
AUC
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |