Tartan Devils vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
79.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartan Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 1
TDO
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
TAM
2 - 0
LOU
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 0
TOR
70%
19%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 1
LOU
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
TAM
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RIC
0 - 1
LOU
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |