Tarpa vs Hartai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TAR
2 - 1
MAT
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
0 - 0
TAR
47%
21%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
KMG
3 - 1
TAR
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TAR
0 - 0
EGE
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TAR
4 - 0
BAL
11%
17%
73%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | +12 |
Matches
Hartai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 2
JAN
52%
21%
27%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
6 - 0
FUZ
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | +5 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 3
ESM
12%
17%
71%
|
8 | 40 | 32 | -1 |