Tarbes vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BEZ
2 - 3
TAR
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 2
CON
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
TAR
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 0
HYE
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MON
4 - 0
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
PAU
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 3
BEZ
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
GRE
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |