Tarbes vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 0
TAR
28%
26%
45%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 1
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 0
TAR
37%
26%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 0
GAP
63%
21%
17%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GDB
2 - 0
TAR
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAE
3 - 3
ROD
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SAE
4 - 0
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
SAE
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAE
4 - 0
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
SAE
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |