Tarbes vs Paulhan/Pézenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NIC
3 - 0
TAR
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 0
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
TAR
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 0
ROD
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paulhan/Pézenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 3
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ANG
3 - 2
PAU
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 0
NIO
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 3
PAU
29%
23%
49%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAU
3 - 0
TOU
61%
19%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |