Tarbes vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HYE
2 - 1
TAR
56%
24%
19%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 3
COL
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -3 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ROD
1 - 0
TAR
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
TAR
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
LEP
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 0
LAS
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
SÈT
1 - 2
PAU
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FCM
0 - 0
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 2
MON
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |