Tarbes vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 2
HYE
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAE
0 - 2
TAR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
TAR
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PAU
4 - 0
TAR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 0
MON
50%
25%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ANG
0 - 0
NÎM
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
NÎM
1 - 2
LEN
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
DIJ
2 - 1
NÎM
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
NÎM
4 - 1
ARL
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
LHA
1 - 1
NÎM
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |