Tarbes vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
TRE
3 - 0
TAR
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 2
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FON
0 - 0
TAR
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
VIT
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GDB
0 - 0
TAR
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 2
VIL
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAI
0 - 1
NIC
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
NIC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 2
LYO
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCM
3 - 1
NIC
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |