Tarbes vs Montpellier II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LEP
0 - 1
TAR
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 0
MON
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 1
TAR
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NIC
3 - 0
TAR
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Montpellier II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
COL
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
MGG
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
FRE
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 3
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |