Tarbes vs Stade Montois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 0
TAR
37%
26%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
0 - 0
GAP
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GDB
2 - 0
TAR
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
TAR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 1
LEP
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Montois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
ROD
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
SAE
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |