Tarbes vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 0
LEP
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 1
TAR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TAR
0 - 0
BAY
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BEZ
1 - 2
TAR
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TAR
2 - 2
CON
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALB
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
PAU
35%
29%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAY
35%
29%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |