Tarbes vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
TAR
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TAR
4 - 0
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BEZ
3 - 1
TAR
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAR
5 - 0
HYE
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAE
2 - 0
TAR
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
ROD
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PAU
5 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
HYE
28%
28%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |