Tarbes vs Blagnac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 0
TAR
37%
22%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 3
SPO
18%
25%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
TAR
49%
25%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 0
GRA
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
STA
3 - 1
TAR
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 0
AGD
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 0
BLA
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BLA
2 - 1
ROD
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NIM
2 - 1
BLA
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |