Tarbes vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CRF
1 - 0
TAR
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 1
ROD
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FAB
4 - 3
TAR
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AGD
1 - 1
TAR
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 0
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 2
AGD
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 3
BAL
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 2
ROD
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -3 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
AVE
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |