Tarbes vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 4
TAR
24%
24%
51%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 0
CUG
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BEZ
1 - 0
TAR
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
TAR
1 - 1
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BLA
1 - 0
TAR
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
ALB
0 - 0
AUR
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
PAU
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
FON
1 - 1
AUR
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 0
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |