Taranto vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
40.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 2
PIS
32%
34%
34%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
PRG
3 - 1
TAR
54%
29%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASS
39%
34%
27%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PES
2 - 0
TAR
65%
23%
12%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
TRI
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |