Taranto vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
USF
1 - 0
TAR
52%
26%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
TAR
4 - 3
ANC
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SAL
0 - 1
TAR
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
TAR
0 - 0
TER
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 2
TAR
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIR
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SSS
2 - 0
AVE
26%
26%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
CAV
3 - 1
AVE
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
AVE
3 - 3
TER
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |