Taranto vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 2
PAL
41%
32%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
BRI
0 - 0
TAR
47%
30%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
48%
30%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
NOV
38%
31%
31%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 1
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
AVE
3 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 1
PES
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
PAL
2 - 0
AVE
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |