Taranto vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
24.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 1
TAR
57%
28%
14%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAT
47%
30%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
CES
1 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
TAR
1 - 0
GEN
40%
32%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
GEN
2 - 1
SPA
59%
26%
15%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 2
ACM
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SPA
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
CES
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
TOR
4 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |