Taranto vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
SPE
7 - 0
TAR
79%
12%
8%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
TAR
1 - 4
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
TAR
0 - 3
UDI
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
EMP
2 - 1
TAR
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
MOD
4 - 0
TAR
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
LIV
4 - 0
SIR
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SIR
1 - 0
USC
53%
22%
26%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
SIR
1 - 0
REG
39%
23%
38%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
SAL
4 - 1
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
VER
3 - 0
SIR
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |